Sunitinib, a tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) that targets multiple receptor tyrosine kinases including vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), significantly transformed the prognosis of metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) upon its introduction in 2005.1) It was recommended as a first line therapy for mRCC patients in various guidelines, including those from the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) and the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO), until newer generations of TKIs and immunotherapy were introduced. However, in Korea, due to the reimbursement issues, treatment options for mRCC patients are limited, and sunitinib is still recommended as a first-line therapy and a viable option for patients who cannot tolerate immunotherapy. Hypothyroidism is a common sunitinib-induced side effect with an incidence of 27 to 85%.2-4) More recently, genetic factors such as single nucleotide polymorphisms in the thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) receptor and the major histocompatibility complex, Class II, DQ Alpha-1 (HLA-DQA1), have been found to be associated with an approximately 2-fold increase in the risk of hypothyroidism,5) underscoring the need to validate these findings in the Korean population. However, hypothyroidism has been considered as minor importance than other side effects such as hypertension and clinical thyroid screening has not been routinely performed.
Hypothyroidism and elevated TSH levels are associated with diverse comorbidities, including coagulopathy, dyslipidemia, hypertension and coronary heart disease which potentially contribute to increased mortality.6) A meta-analysis7) of 12 case-control studies showed an association between hypothyroidism and increased mortality, although heterogeneity and potential genetic confounding were noted. A cohort study8) utilizing data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2001- 2012) with follow-up through 2015 found that US adults with subclinical hypothyroidism or high-normal TSH concentrations had increased all-cause mortality compared to those with middle- normal TSH levels, as indicated by hazard (HRs) ratios of 1.90 and 1.36, respectively.
Contrary to the typical association between hypothyroidism and increased mortality, real-world evidence suggests that sunitinib- induced hypothyroidism may correlate with improved therapeutic outcomes of sunitinib in mRCC patients, proposing its role as a predictive marker for sunitinib efficacy. In a study9) of 41 patients with clear cell mRCC treated with sunitinib in the first-line setting, significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS) was observed (25.3 months vs. 9.0 months,
Although the precise mechanism of hypothyroidism remains unclear, sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism is thought to occur due to inhibition of the VEGF-signaling pathway or activation of the anticancer immune system.11) Additionally, since thyroid hormone itself stimulates cancer growth, it is logical that hypothyroidism could prolong PFS and OS. Identifying factors that influence hypothyroidism and managing them effectively can help patients maintain sunitinib treatment and improve outcomes. Moreover, early management of patients with subclinical hypothyroidism may enhance outcomes. The objectives of this study are to identify the predictive factors for sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism and to assess whether the occurrence of overt of subclinical hypothyroidism predicts tumor outcomes in patients with mRCC.
This retrospective study utilized electronic medical records (EMRs) to include patients diagnosed with any pathologic subtype of mRCC who completed at least one cycle of sunitinib treatment from January 2007 to June 2014 at Seoul National University Hospital. All participants initially received sunitinib at a starting dose of 50 mg, taken daily for 4 weeks, followed by a 2-week break, continuing a 6-week cycle. Doses were adjusted based on the presence of hematological and non-hematological adverse events. Individuals with uncontrolled thyroid disease or prior VEGF therapy were excluded from the study. Ethical approval for the study was granted by the Institutional Review Board (IRB) of Seoul National University Hospital (SNUH IRB 1706-075-859).
The study aimed to identify risk factors for sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism and prognostic factors affecting the survival outcomes, specifically PFS and OS. PFS was defined as the duration from treatment initiation to either disease progression or death, while OS was measured from treatment initiation to death. Tumor responses and disease progression were evaluated every two cycles based on Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) criteria employing either computed tomography scans or magnetic resonance imaging. Bone scans were performed when clinically indicated.
Thyroid function was evaluated at baseline and periodically during sunitinib treatment, measuring serum free thyroxine and TSH. Definitions of overt and subclinical hypothyroidism were based on criteria from the American Thyroid Association (ATA), the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists (AACE), and the Endocrine Society.12) Overt hypothyroidism was characterized by below-normal free thyroxine levels and a TSH above the upper limit of normal (ULN), set at 4.1 μIU/mL by our institutional laboratory, where the normal free thyroxine range is 0.7 to 1.8 ng/dL. Subclinical hypothyroidism involved elevated TSH with normal free thyroxine levels. Thyroid hormone replacement commenced when TSH exceeded 10 μIU/ mL, adhering to protocols from previous study.3) Patients with normal TSH levels were categorized as the euthyroid group.
To compare the characteristics between the hypothyroid and the euthyroid groups, categorical values were assessed using Pearson’s chi-squared test or Fisher’s exact test, and numerical variables were evaluated with either Mann-Whitney U test or the independent samples t-test based on the results of Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictive factors for sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism.
To mitigate time-related biases in our analysis, two distinct approaches were employed. Firstly, hypothyroidism status was incorporated as a time-dependent covariate, where initially all patients were considered non-responders, transitioning to responders upon manifestation of hypothyroidism. Secondly, we utilized the landmark analysis technique, setting predetermined times (landmarks) at 3, 6, 9, and 12-months post-initiation of sunitinib treatment to assess responses. Survival analyses and subsequent statistical evaluations were then performed based on the status at these landmark times, excluding any patients who deceased prior to each landmark.
The relationship between hypothyroidism and both PFS and OS was examined using the Kaplan-Meier method, with the log-rank test for univariate analysis and the Cox proportional hazards model for multivariable evaluation. PFS was defined from the date of treatment initiation to radiologically confirmed disease progression or death, and OS was defined as time from sunitinib initiation to death. Prognostic factors included baseline characteristics (age, sex, Heng risk category,13) Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS), histology, metastasis, prior therapy, time to systemic treatment, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), serum calcium) and treatment-related factors (sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism, hypertension, proteinuria, renal injury). To address the bias of survival requirement for developing hypothyroidism, hypothyroidism was analyzed as a time-varying covariate and through landmark analysis at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months following sunitinib treatment.
A two-tailed
A total of 156 patients were included in the study, of which 86 (55.1%) patients developed hypothyroidism following sunitinib treatment; overt hypothyroidism accounted for 59.3% of these cases. Table 1 presents the baseline characteristics of the hypothyroid and the euthyroid groups. Most baseline characteristics did not differ significantly between the groups. Male patients were predominant in both groups, with a larger proportion in euthyroid group (87.1% vs. 69.8%,
The distribution of factors associated with sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism in patients with mRCC are outlined in Table 2. Univariable analysis identified several predictive factors for sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism (Table 3): being female (OR 2.94; 95% CI, 1.27-6.79), sunitinib-induced hypertension (OR 4.05; 95% CI, 1.87-8.77), sunitinib-induced proteinuria (OR 2.50; 95% CI, 1.28-4.88), number of sunitinib cycles (OR 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04-1.21), and sunitinib dose reduction due to toxicities other than hypothyroidism (OR 4.02; 95% CI, 2.06-7.85). Multivariable analysis confirmed that being female (OR 2.77; 95% CI, 1.03-7.50), sunitinib-induced hypertension (OR 2.99; 95% CI, 1.10-8.15), and dose reduction for reasons other than hypothyroidism (OR 3.57; 95% CI, 1.50-8.53) remained significant predictive factors. Other factors did not show a significant association. In patients with overt hypothyroidism, the initial elevated TSH level was significantly higher than in those with subclinical hypothyroidism (33.14 μIU/mL vs. 7.17 μIU/mL,
Patients in the hypothyroid group exhibited significantly longer PFS and OS compared to those in the euthyroid group, with PFS at 10.5 months versus 6.1 months and OS at 23.5 months versus 9.4 months (both
The median PFS in the overt hypothyroid group was 12.2 months, compared to 6.1 months in both the subclinical hypothyroid and euthyroid groups (
Multivariable analysis identified the development of overt hypothyroidism as a significant prognostic factor for improved PFS and OS, with HR of 0.38 (95% CI, 0.16-0.88) and 0.23 (95% CI, 0.09-0.64), respectively (Table 3). Other prognostic factors affecting PFS included Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS) <80% (HR 3.46; 95% CI, 1.18-10.12) and time from diagnosis to systemic treatment of less than one year (HR 2.48; 95% CI, 1.10-5.60). For OS, significant factors were age >65 years (HR 3.40; 95% CI, 1.05-11.04), KPS <80% (HR 4.11; 95% CI, 1.27-13.35), time from diagnosis to systemic treatment less than one year (HR 4.43; 95% CI, 1.71-11.47), and hypercalcemia (HR 5.34; 95% CI, 1.53-18.65). The development of subclinical hypothyroidism was not identified as a favorable prognostic factor for either PFS or OS.
In this study, we identified predictive factors for sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism as well as favorable prognostic factors for PFS and OS in Korean patients with mRCC. The incidence of sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism was reported more frequently in retrospective studies, at 53-85%, compared to 36- 46% in prospective studies.14) More recent studies7-10,15-17) based on real-world data reported that the incidence of sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism as 29.3-59.1%. In our research, the prevalence of hypothyroidism was similar to these previous studies, as 55.1% of patients developed hypothyroidism following sunitinib treatment in our study. Additionally, Kust et al.9) reported median peak TSH values reaching 34.4 mIU/L in 29.3% of patients who developed hypothyroidism, which is comparable to the 33.1 mIU/L observed in our study. A cross-sectional analysis18) conducted at a single institution in Korea reported an occurrence of approximately 28% for any grade of hypothyroidism in sunitinib administered patients. Sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism is often underdiagnosed due to its nonspecific symptoms such as fatigue; thus, identifying readily accessible predictive factors is crucial to pinpoint patients at high risk.
Our findings indicate that female patients are at a higher risk of developing hypothyroidism, a result consistent with previous studies.9,19,20) The epidemiological study also indicated a higher prevalence and incidence of subclinical hypothyroidism in Korean female compared to Korean male.21) Consequently, for women undergoing sunitinib therapy, baseline and periodic thyroid examinations during treatment are necessary. Additional predictive factors identified include sunitinib-induced hypertension and dose reduction due to toxicity. A previous study found that patients who develop hypothyroidism commonly underwent one or two dose reductions for grade 3-4 hematological or non-hematological toxicities,3) indicating that susceptibility to one side effect may increase vulnerability to others, such as hypertension. Interestingly, some research22,23) has associated side effects like hypertension and neutropenia with a good prognosis, suggesting that these complications, when managed effectively, could potentially benefit patients. However, contrasting findings were observed in a study24) conducted at a single center in Helsinki, Finland, which found no association between hypertension and hypothyroidism in 64 patients with mRCC treated with sunitinib. In contrast, our study identified a clear association between hypertension and hypothyroidism after sunitinib treatment for mRCC, highlighting the variability in clinical responses and the need for further investigation into these interrelated side effects. Therefore, patients who develop hypertension and experience dose reductions due to other intolerances should be closely monitored with additional thyroid function tests to manage these side effects proactively. Furthermore, using blood pressure as an index is not only more convenient but also cost-effective compared to routine thyroid function tests. This approach ensures that potential adverse effects are managed promptly, potentially turning a risk into a prognostic advantage.
Consistent with previous studies conducted in Europe,25,26) the hypothyroid group exhibited longer PFS and OS compared to the euthyroid group. This finding aligns with a meta-analysis27) that reported similar outcomes (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.31-0.87). However, only overt hypothyroidism emerged as a significant prognostic factor for favorable PFS and OS, while subclinical hypothyroidism did not significantly affect PFS and OS. Existing meta-analyses have indicated a trend toward increased PFS in patients with hypothyroidism, although this was not statistically significant (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.59-1.13). By differentiating between overt and subclinical hypothyroidism, this study confirmed that PFS was significantly prolonged in patients with overt hypothyroidism. Historically, thyroid hormone has been considered a stimulant for tumor growth in cancer patients.28) In our study, nearly all patients who developed overt hypothyroidism underwent thyroid hormone replacement therapy, with levothyroxine restoring 72.5% of patients to a euthyroid state. Thus, the improvement in PFS and OS observed in the overt hypothyroid group is likely not due to the hypothyroid state but rather the direct anticancer effects of sunitinib. Thyroid hormone replacement did not negatively impact tumor outcomes, indicating that the administration of levothyroxine need not be delayed.
The limitations of this study stem from its retrospective nature. The study lacks data on drug compliance, which could significantly impact the results. In response to the inherent challenges of the retrospective design, we implemented several strategies to minimize potential bias. Firstly, we ensured a homogeneous patient population relevant to the study’s objectives as we included only those patients who received a complete cycle of sunitinib and excluded those with uncontrolled thyroid conditions or previous VEGF therapies to avoid confounding treatment effects. Furthermore, to counter information bias, data were extracted from EMRs, which provided a consistent source of comprehensive patient information, and the data were collected based on consistent protocol. Considering time-related bias due to the adoption of newer generation targeted therapies and immune checkpoint inhibitors, as well as the follow-up period, we limited the inclusion of patients to those treated from 2007 to 2014. However, to control time-related bias, we used time-dependent covariate and landmark method.
Female patients, as well as those who experience sunitinib-induced hypertension or dose reductions, are at an increased risk of developing hypothyroidism; therefore, close monitoring is strongly recommended. Furthermore, overt hypothyroidism has been identified as a strong prognostic factor for favorable treatment outcomes in mRCC patients, and thyroid hormone replacement therapy does not adversely affect tumor outcomes.
The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare with regards to the contents of this study.